Archive for December 9th, 2009
GoLearn Forex Analyais 9/12/2009
Currently the 100 day MA is sitting above the 50 day MA which is indicative of a falling price environment.
The Pound is currently trading at 1.6276 and the 50 SMA is sitting at 1.6404. A close below the 50 SMA generates a strong Short entry signal. In addition, using the Fibonacci Retrace from the Cable’s low on March 11th at 1.3657 to the Cable’s high at 1.7043 on August 5th brings to the forefront some important levels.
INSERT CHART A
The 23.6% Retrace level sits at 1.6244 just 30 pips from the current mark. The close today likely below the 50 SMA coupled with a breach of the 23.6% level may send the GBP free falling to the next Fibo level of 38.2% or 1.5749.
There are a number of trading indicators that are used for ranging markets versus trending markets. The MACD is a common and important tool for traders as it more easily identifies momentum and changes thereto. In the Chart below the red vertical line highlights the crossover of the Average versus the MACD, representing a shift in momentum.
INSERT CHART B
Another indicative technical pattern we use are lower lows, lower highs and vice versa. As you see on the chart above we have been trending down within the range. More importantly we have reached a succession of lower high and lower lows. The more the pattern repeats itself the greater the confirmation of the move and the more likely it is to continue.
The combination of MA’s, Fibonacci’s, MACD, and technical patterns identifies potential entry points, momentum, and profit targets.
Gold Continues Sell-off by GoLearn Forex
Global Equity Markets slumped on Tuesday as a wave of poor economic news and lowered rating caught the market off guard. In Japan, GDP printed less than forecasted, coming in at 1.3%. Fitch lowered its rating on Greece. In Dubai, the main developer reported a $3.65 billion loss contributing to the market’s woes. The DJIA finished the session down 104.14 points to close at 10,287.97
The Dollar continued its rally feeding off the poor equity performance as risk aversion remained in firm control. The DXY closed at 76.31, a level not seen since early November. Gold continued its selloff as it closed the day down $30 to 1,128.40. Oil was not far behind finishing the day down $1.31 to 72.62 a barrel.
The BOC left rates unchanged at .25. In Switzerland, Unemployment printed as expected for November at 4.2%. Later today the RBZ will announce its Interest Rate decision. They are widely expected to keep rates on hold, currently at 2.5%. With no relief insight we expect the dollar rally to continue in to today.
Upcoming Forex Events for December 9, 2009
CHF Unemployment Rate Actual 4.10% Forecast 4.20% Previous 4.10%
EUR German CPI (MoM) Actual -0.10% Forecast -0.20% Previous -0.20%
NZD Interest Rate Decision Forecast 2.50% Previous 2.50%
AUD Employment Change Forecast 6.00K Previous 24.50K
Analysis by http://www.golearnforex.net
Daily Review 09/12/2009
USD Dollar (USD)
The Dollar continued gaining versus most majors as investors turned to the Safe Haven of the Dollar as the global economy keeps struggling to end the recession. President Obama called for more federal spending to fight the unemployment. IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism was out weaker with 46.8 versus 49.5 expected. NASDAQ and Dow Jones dropped by -0.76% and -1.00% respectively as the Dollar strengthened. Crude weakened by -1.23% closing at 73.02$ a barrel and Gold (XAU) fell by -2.87% closing at 1130$ an ounce on a stronger Dollar. Today, Wholesale Inventories are expected with -0.6% versus -0.9% prior.
EURO (EUR)
The Euro continued falling versus the Dollar, breaking below the 1.48 support level. German Industrial Production came out weaker with -1.8% versus 1.1% expected and sent equity markets to declines. Overall, EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.4680 and with a high of 1.4867. French Non-Farm Payrolls will be released at night and are expected to remain with 0% change. ECB Monthly Report will also be released at night giving outlooks for various economic issues.
EUR/USD – Last: 1.4699
|
Resistance |
1.4735 |
1.4896 |
1.5090 |
|
Support |
1.4668 |
|
|
British Pound (GBP)
The Pound dropped versus the Dollar after Manufacturing Production came out short with 0% versus 0.5% expected. NIESR GDP Estimate came out 0.2% versus -0.4% prior. Overall, GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.6255 and a high of 1.6476. Today, Trade Balance is expected with -6.9B versus -7.2B prior.
GBP/USD – Last: 1.6190
|
Resistance |
1.6311 |
1.6515 |
1.6670 |
|
Support |
1.6180 |
|
|
Japanese Yen (JPY)
The Yen gained versus the Dollar and the Euro as risk appetite continued to wane and investors seek the safety of the Yen. Final GDP came out weaker with 0.3% versus 0.8% expected. Overall, USD/JPY traded with a low of 88.16 and a high of 89.51 and EUR/JPY traded with a low of 129.64 and a high of 132.71. Today, Core Machinery Orders are expected with -4.4% versus 10.5% prior.
USD/JPY-Last: 88.00
|
Resistance |
89.17 |
90.10 |
90.77 |
|
Support |
88 |
87.65 |
87 |
Canadian Dollar (CAD)
The Canadian Dollar weakened versus the Dollar as Bank of Canada left the Interest Rate unchanged at 0.25% and Commodity prices continued to weaken lowering the high yielding currency\’s appeal. Housing Starts came out 159K as expected. Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.0485 and a high of 1.0670. No economic data expected today.
USD/CAD – Last: 1.0647
|
Resistance |
1.0670 |
|
|
|
Support |
1.0611 |
1.0595 |
1.0487 |
Research by http://www.ufxbank.com
Forex Meta trader 4
The Meta trader software is very helpful Forex trading software. It is a very user-friendly application specially designed for traders and investors who trade currencies in the Forex trade market. A famous software developing company called Metaquotes has developed this software. If one asks any experienced trader he will say that this platform is undoubtedly the most famous one in the Forex trade market. Also it provides a secure internet connection; no trader is forced to miss out on the trades occurring in the market. The fluctuations in the market are also shown clearly by this platform. All functions and applications which are required by the traders and investors are provided by this software. Also at the same time it is totally shown in simple language. That is why even the new and inexperienced traders can use it quite efficiently.
The various Forex systems like Forex robot work on this software’s principles. It is pivotal for the smooth working of the Forex world. The main advantage of this type of Forex trading software is that it is available on all the personal computers and also on the cell phones which have the facility of accessing the internet. All Forex brokers provide their clients with its necessary data. One just needs to upload it on his computer and then he can start using it. All the latest market charts and numbers can be seen through this software. The financial experts from around the world advise using this software for the Futures market and others. Among the thousands of Forex brokers worldwide, there exist only handfuls few who do not us this software.
Those who have acquainted themselves with the Meta trader software are satisfied with its facilities and results. The various blogs and testimonials posted by traders are proof of that fact. The technical analysis’s provide by this software are totally accurate. Also the opinions given are generally very helpful for new traders and investors. This software also provides many features. The traders can form their own strategy with precise planning and follow it. The success attained due to the Meta trader reached new heights. That is why the boundaries of its limits expanded. Though automation of many things is preferred, any self-respecting individual would like to do many things within his power himself. Manual work always yields the best results.
The Meta trader 4 features those indicators which can be dragged and dropped on the screen. Those indicators can be downloaded from the internet daily. The new users can grasp all the aspects of this software without even referring to the user manual. The Meta trader platform uses a specific language to speak. The name of that language is MOL4. It is possible for any trader to mange more than one account while using Meta trader software. In all, it is perhaps the most favorable software present in the Forex trade market.
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